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Dollar's slides Vs. Majors ahead to ISM Survey Forex
Analysis
Read The Latest Forex Analysis By Finotec : Dollar's slides Vs.
Majors ahead to ISM Survey
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Dollar's slides Vs. Majors ahead to ISM Survey
03-03-2008 - Finotec | Fundamental Reports
Previous Analysis | Next Analysis Text
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Bookmark Us The dollar could fall to 98 yen by the end of
the month as more carry trades are unwound The dollar slid
to a record low against a basket of currencies on Monday as new
worries about the health of U.S. financial firms and fears of a
U.S. recession stoked expectations of aggressive rate cuts. The
dollar also hit a three-year low against the yen below 103 and an
all-time trough against the Swiss franc as investors rushed to
unwind leveraged carry trades in which funds are borrowed in those
low-yielding currencies to buy higher-yielding assets. The Dollar
is trading around the levels of 1.5180 against the Euro, around the
levels of 103.00 against the Yen and around the levels of 1.9815
against the Sterling.
Tohru Sasaki, chief forex strategist for Japan at JPMorgan Chase,
said the dollar could fall to 98 yen by the end of the month as
more carry trades are unwound, which would take it to the lowest
since 1995. "It's possible for the yen to rise against the dollar
for a totally different reason than falling U.S. interest rates, "
Sasaki said, adding that automatic sell orders towards 100 yen
would fuel a further fall. The abrupt tumble in the dollar against
the yen last week has cast a shadow on the U.S. currency from a
technical standpoint, and analysts said a fall towards the 101.67
yen low struck in January 2005 was likely.
The U.S. economic straits have stirred speculation that the Federal
Reserve could slash overnight rates by another 75 basis points
before the end of the month to 2.25 percent and take rates below 2
percent by the end of the year. Such expectations have undermined
the dollar, which suffered its biggest weekly drop in two years
last week.
The dollar's tumble comes before a slew of central bank decisions
this week that will highlight the differences in how major
economies are handling the U.S. slowdown combined with the surge in
commodities and inflation.
The Reserve Bank of Australia is expected to lift rates to a
12-year high of 7.25 percent from 7 percent, even as the Bank of
Canada is seen cutting rates. The prospect of an RBA rate hike has
underpinned the Aussie, which dipped slightly to $0.9301 but was
near a 24-year peak of $0.9498 struck last week.
Unchanged decisions were expected from the Bank of England, the
Bank of Japan and the Reserve Bank of New Zealand. The European
Central Bank was also seen keeping rates steady, though analysts
were looking to see if ECB President Jean-Claude Trichet took a
less hawkish tone.
The ISM survey of manufacturing is due later on Monday, and
analysts have been cutting their forecasts after a run of gloomy
regional reports last week. The key monthly payrolls report is out
on Friday.
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Equity markets cause risk aversion, as US consumer confidence
at 16 year low Forex Analysis
Read The Latest Forex Analysis By Easy Forex : Equity markets
cause risk aversion, as US consumer confidence at 16 year low
Easy
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Equity markets cause risk aversion, as US consumer confidence
at 16 year low
03-03-2008 - Easy Forex | Fundamental
Reports Previous Analysis | Next Analysis
Text Size Print Email
Add a Comment Bookmark Us CURRENCY TRADING SUMMARY
U.S. Dollar Trading (USD) was mixed versus a number of
majors, as equity markets was a cause for plenty of volatility on
Friday. On the data front, inflation reported by the PCE deflator
accelerated to its fastest pace in over two years, yet consumer
confidence was at its lowest level in 16 years with the Michigan
sentiment survey, whilst Chicago PMI was at 6 year lows. However
the big mover in the markets was from reports that the
world s largest insurer, American International Group
reported 5.3bln quarterly loss, prompting a broad sell off in
equities. In U.S. share markets the NASDAQ was down by -60.09
points (-2.58%) whilst the Dow Jones also fell by -315.19 points
(-2.51%). Crude oil fell by US$0.80 a barrel to US$101.79. Looking
ahead, ISM manufacturing figures are scheduled for release with
forecasts lying at 48 for the month February, lower then the
previous 50.7.
The Euro (EUR) held firm against the Dollar,
despite a number of other majors suffering on a cross yen sell off.
Nonetheless the Euro held close to record highs trading with a low
of 1.5144 and a high of 1.5240 before closing the day at 1.5189 in
the New York session. Key data out of the Eurozone will include PMI
data and CPI figures.
The Japanese Yen (JPY) rallied to fresh three year
lows on the back of risk aversion prompting the Japanese Yen to
trade at fresh three year lows. Overall the USDJPY traded with a
low of 103.83 and high of 105.37 before closing the day at 103.82.
The Sterling (GBP) paired back its week gains also
on the back of a sizeable GBPJPY sell off on global stocks
plunging. Overall the GBPUSD traded with a low of 1.9786 and a high
of 1.9922 before closing the day at 1.9881 in the New York session.
The Australian Dollar (AUD) was one of the worst
performing currencies on Friday, as the high yielder was sold
rapidly on the back of lower equity markets, ensuring the Aussie
remained well shy from its recent multi year highs. Overall the
AUDUSD traded with a low of 0.9319 and a high of 0.9472 before
closing the session at 0.9323 in New York.
Gold (XAU) traded at a fresh record high of
US$978.50, before succumbing to profit taking during the US
session. XAU gained by US$7.50 an ounce to US$975.00
TECHNICAL COMMENTARY Currency Sup 2 Sup 1 Spot Res 1
Res 2 EUR/USD 1.4971 1.5074 1.5200 1.5239 1.5304
USD/JPY 101.67 103.36 103.05 105.39 106.65
GBP/USD 1.9644 1.9763 1.9840 1.9975 2.0000
AUD/USD 0.9122 0.9266 0.9320 0.9500 0.9555
XAU/USD 949.00 953.48 976.10 976.14 1000.00
Euro 1.5200 Initial support at 1.5074 (Feb
28 low) followed by 1.4971 (Feb 27 low). Initial resistance is now
located at 1.5239 (Feb 29 high) followed by 1.5304 (1.4311 plus
0.618 of 1.3361 to 1.4967).
Yen 103.05
Initial support is located at 103.36 (Feb 2005 low) followed by
101.67 (Jan 1995 reaction low). Initial resistance is now at 105.39
(Feb 29 high) followed by 106.65 (Feb 28 high)
Pound 1.9840 Initial support at 1.9763
(Feb 28 low) followed by 1.9644 (Feb 22 low). Initial resistance is
now at 1.9975 (Feb 27 high) followed by 2.0000 (Round Number)
Australian Dollar 0.9320
Read More
On 26-06-2007
GBP tests $2 mark before retreating
CURRENCY TRADING SUMMARY U.S. Dollar Trading (USD) was subject to
further slowing in the housing sector as Existing Home Sales for
the month of May fell 0.3%, from 6.0 ...
Read More
On 25-06-2007
Yen crosses hit multi year highs as carry
trade remains in full swing Yen crosses hit multi year
highs as carry trade remains in full swing. RBNZ intervene for
second time in a week as NZD profits from the carry trade. last
week rsq ...
Read More
AUD reaches new high CURRENCY TRADING SUMMARYU.S.
Dollar Trading (USD) was mixed against a basket of currencies as
little data was released from U.S. markets to end the w ...
Read More AUD reaches 18 year high as GBP target the $2
level CURRENCY TRADING SUMMARYU.S. Dollar Trading (USD)
was mixed against a basket of currencies as little data was
released from U.S. markets to end the week. Despite posit ...
Read More
On 22-06-2007
High-yielder continue to be point of interest
as Philly Fed gives initial support to USD CURRENCY
TRADING SUMMARY U.S. Dollar Trading (USD) was mixed across the
board as an unexpectedly large gain in Philadelphia area factory
output in June provided a mome ...
Read More On
21-06-2007
BoE minutes surprises with a 5 to 4 vote giving
a bullish GBP outlook
CURRENCY TRADING SUMMARY U.S. Dollar Trading (USD) was mixed
against a basket of currencies as markets leaned towards Fed easing
being unlikely. With a lack of data, t ...
Read
More On 20-06-2007
US housing falls, hampering the
dollar CURRENCY TRADING SUMMARY U.S. Dollar Trading (USD)
eased against a basket of majors as housing starts fell to 1.474
mio for the month of May from the previous 1.506 wh ...
Read More
USD rally ends on poor inflationary numbers Last
week s currency trading reviewThe Dollar experienced six
consecutive sessions of rallying in beginning of the week following
the edging hig ...
Read More On 19-06-2007
Speculation of second RBNZ intervention in the space of one
week CURRENCY TRADING SUMMARY U.S. Dollar Trading (USD)
eased across the board affected by further drop in U.S. bond yields
that undermined the appeal of dollar-denominated ...
Read
More
On 13-06-2007
Bonds reach 5 year highs giving further
support to the USD CURRENCY TRADING SUMMARYU.S. Dollar
Trading (USD) rallied against the Euro for the fifth consecutive
session to touch two month highs, as the greenback remained buoyed
...
Read More On 12-06-2007
Four Central
Bank announcements, and only one hike Last week s
currency trading reviewThe Dollar rebounded to end the week as a
surge in treasury bonds gave significant support to the greenback,
...
Read More
On 11-06-2007
USD rallies on the back of surging yields and
tightening of trade deficit CURRENCY TRADING SUMMARYU.S.
Dollar Trading (USD) rebounded broadly against a basket of majors
as US treasury yields widened their advantage over other major
governmen ...
Read More On 08-06-2007
US
trade balance to end the week CURRENCY TRADING SUMMARY
U.S. Dollar Trading (USD) was mixed against all other majors before
rebounding against the Euro on Thursday, as expectations for solid
economi ...
Read More
On 07-06-2007
Buoyant Aussie economic growth sees an 18
year high for the AUD CURRENCY TRADING SUMMARY U.S. Dollar
Trading (USD) was mixed against other majors on Wednesday
rebounding against the Euro in particular. With little data
released out ...
Read More On 31-05-2007
Currencies hold firm in wake of 6.5% drop in Chinese
stocks CURRENCY TRADING SUMMARYU.S. Dollar Trading (USD)
rebounded slightly throughout Wednesday s session having
eased earlier to end the day mixed ac ...
Read
More
USD shows strength as markets second guess Fed rate
cut Last week s currency trading reviewThe Dollar
rebounded in the early part of the week as speculation involving
the Federal Reserve keeping rates ...
Read More On
30-05-2007
China raises stamp duty on share trading causing
market volatility CURRENCY TRADING SUMMARYU.S. Dollar
Trading (USD) slid against most majors before Consumer Confidence
came in better than expectations. With markets forecasting a figu
...
Read More
On 29-05-2007
Thin trading across the board as markets
absent on holidays CURRENCY TRADING SUMMARY U.S. Dollar
Trading (USD) was closed on Monday for Memorial Day. That being
said, tight ranges were experienced across the board with the abse
...
Read More On 26-05-2007
US Existing
Home Sales fails to support New Home Sales figure CURRENCY
TRADING SUMMARY U.S. Dollar Trading (USD) remained relatively
unchanged against a basket of currencies despite Existing Home
Sales disappointing on the back o ...
Read More
On 25-05-2007
USD finds support as New Home Sales grew at
its fastest rate in 14 years CURRENCY TRADING SUMMARYU.S.
Dollar Trading (USD) rebounded on Thursday as reports showed that
US New Home Sales in April showed growth at its fastest rate in 14
years ...
Read More On 24-05-2007
BoE hint
at future rate hikes giving support to the GBP CURRENCY
TRADING SUMMARYU.S. Dollar Trading (USD) fell against a basket of
majors as positive data from other markets weighed heavy on the
USD. Despite mortgage data c ...
Read More
Central Bank of China causes volatility Last
week s currency trading reviewThe Dollar began the week
sliding on the back of some poor CPI data, which weighed heavy on
the USD, before r ...
Read More On 23-05-2007
USD continues to rebound as US-China two day meeting
begins CURRENCY TRADING SUMMARYU.S. Dollar Trading (USD)
continued to rebound against a basket of currencies on Tuesday,
rallying to a six-week high as trade ...
Read More
On 22-05-2007
USD continues to rally as markets question
Fed Reserve rate cut CURRENCY TRADING SUMMARY U.S. Dollar
Trading (USD) gained broadly against a basket of currencies as
investors continued to square off short greenback bets, amid a grow
...
Read More On 21-05-2007
The Central
Bank of China widens the Yuan-USD trading band supporting the
JPY
CURRENCY TRADING SUMMARYU.S. Dollar Trading (USD) was mixed on
Friday as despite robust economic data released in the form of the
Michigan Survey. A method of measurin ...
Read
More On 18-05-2007
Buoyant U.S. data provides for
a stronger dollar CURRENCY TRADING SUMMARYU.S. Dollar
Trading (USD) advanced broadly having recently reached a 1 week
low. The greenback received support from Philly Fed survey which in
...
Read More
On 17-05-2007
Sturdy House Prices and Industrial Production
give support to USD rally CURRENCY TRADING SUMMARY U.S.
Dollar Trading (USD) rallied broadly overnight having hit a
one-week low against the Euro. With recent concerns of a slowing
housing sect ...
Read More On 16-05-2007
US CPI fails to impress igniting USD selling across the
board CURRENCY TRADING SUMMARYU.S. Dollar Trading (USD)
was overall weaker in the overnight session as CPI failed to ignite
US dollar buying. Headline CPI rose 0.4% compared ...
Read
More
On 15-05-2007
Spotlight on US CPI data, a key measure of
inflationary pressures CURRENCY TRADING SUMMARYU.S. Dollar
Trading (USD) was mixed against other majors to begin the week on
Monday. With the absence of key data, many currency pairs traded
...
Read More On 14-05-2007
USD eases on
the back of poor Retail Sales and PPI CURRENCY TRADING
SUMMARY U.S. Dollar Trading (USD) eased against a basket of
currencies to end the week on Friday as U.S. retail sales surprised
coming in on the soft ...
Read More
On 11-05-2007
USD rebounds significantly on Paulson
comments CURRENCY TRADING SUMMARY U.S. Dollar Trading
(USD) gained across the board despite initially losing ground on
the back of a weaker trade balance figure showing a furth ...
Read More On 10-05-2007
FOMC keep rates
unchanged giving USD some support CURRENCY TRADING
SUMMARYU.S. Dollar Trading (USD) rallied against a handful of
majors on Wednesday following the Federal Reserve decision to keep
interest rates unchan ...
Read More
On 09-05-2007
Aussie Retail Sales surprise giving support
to the AUD CURRENCY TRADING SUMMARYU.S. Dollar Trading
(USD) was mixed on Tuesday due to technical trading ahead of the
FOMC meeting which may hint at a rate cut, with many econo ...
Read More On 08-05-2007
U.S. Dollar
Trading eased on Monday ahead of the FOMC rate decision later this
week CURRENCY TRADING SUMMARY U.S. Dollar Trading (USD)
eased on Monday ahead of the FOMC rate decision later this week,
underlining the expectations for U.S. interest rate ...
Read More
On 07-05-2007
Non Farm Payrolls disappoints as further
slowing economic growth in the US reverses recent dollar
rallies CURRENCY TRADING SUMMARY U.S. Dollar Trading (USD)
ended its previous three straight day of strength on Friday as
Non-Farm Payrolls was released weaker than expected. ...
Read More On 04-05-2007
USD rallies for
the third straight day with growth in the service sector
CURRENCY TRADING SUMMARYU.S. Dollar Trading (USD) continued its
rally for the third consecutive day, following Non-manufacturing
ISM eased concerns of a stagnating eco ...
Read
More On 02-05-2007
Strong US ISM Manufacturing
gives initial support to the dollar
tudents the art of trading since June 1997, has signed an
agre...
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Bank of Canada (BOC) | Canada
forex
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BOC-Canada
BOC-Canada
Fed ECB BOJ BOE SNB BOC RBA RBNZ (BOC) Bank of Canada
Announces New Term PRA Transactions 11-03-2008 - Bank of
Canada | BOC-Canada NOTICE Tuesday, 11
March 2008, 8:30 (ET)Since the co-ordinated actions taken in
December 2007, the G10 central banks have continued to work
together closely and to consult regularly on liquidi ...
Read More
(BOC) Bank of Canada Lowers Overnight Rate Target by 1/2
Percentage Point to 3 1/2 Per cent 04-03-2008 - Bank of
Canada |
BOC-Canada OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada
today announced that it is lowering its target for the overnight
rate by one-half of one percentage point to 3 1/2 per cent. The
operating band for the overnight rate is co ...
Read
More
(BOC) Mark Carney - The Implications of Globalization for
the Economy and Public Policy 19-02-2008 - Bank of Canada
|
BOC-Canada CHECK AGAINST DELIVERYRemarks by Mark
Carney Governor of the Bank of Canada to the British Columbia
Chamber of Commerceand the Business Council of British
ColumbiaVancouver, British Columbia18 Februar ...
Read More
(BOC) Bank of Canada Releases Monetary Policy Report
Update
24-01-2008 - Bank of Canada |
BOC-Canada OTTAWA -
The Bank of Canada today released its January Monetary Policy
Report Update. In this Update, the Bank said that the Canadian
economy continues to operate above its production capacity, despit
...
Read More (BOC) Bank of Canada lowers overnight rate
target by 1/4 percentage point to 4 per cent 22-01-2008 -
Bank of Canada |
BOC-Canada
OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is lowering its
target for the overnight rate by one-quarter of one percentage
point to 4 per cent. The operating band for the overnight rate is
cor ...
Read More
16-10-2007 - Bank of Canada |
BOC-Canada OTTAWA -
The Bank of Canada today announced that it is maintaining its
target for the overnight rate at 4 1/2 per cent. The operating band
for the overnight rate is unchanged, and the Bank Rate remain ...
Read More 1 |
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EUR/USD -0.23% | 1.5669
GBP/USD -0.66% | 1.9692
USD/JPY 0.62% | 107.45
USD/CHF 0.72% | 1.0328
AUD/USD -1.49% | 0.9489
EUR/GBP 0.43% | 0.7955
USD/CAD -0.06% | 1.0189 tr
Make
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2 Trading Devises Mercado De
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Currency Pair Overnight Asia/Europe USD
two-way again, whipsaws early Official USD sales in
Asia Technical trade evidentToday s Economic ReportsAll
times EASTERN (-5 GMT) 8:00am USD Fed Chairman Bernanke
Speaks 10:00am USD Pending Home Sale ...
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Market Overview Fundamental Analysis Technical Analysis
USD/JPY Holding Key Support; Looks Ready to Challenge 1
08-07-2008 | General Overview | James Hyerczyk
GBP/USD
Closes on the Bearside of Gann Angles Bearish News Continues to
Pile Up on NZD/USD Wheat and Gold Are Feeling Downside Pressure as
the Dol Lower Commodity Markets Weaken Canadian Dollar
Appetite for Risk May Increase; USD/CHF May Get Explosi
Recession Talk Circulates Around GBP/USD U.S. Stock Markets Buoy
USD/JPY Read More Dollar falls from one week high as stocks
drop 08-07-2008 | Fundamental Reports | Finotec
The Pending Home Sales Index 08-07-2008 |
Fundamental Reports | Crown Forex
Weak stocks reverse Dollar gains as risk aversion
spike 08-07-2008 | Fundamental Reports | Easy Forex
Sterling drops as Industrial Production comes in
lower 07-07-2008 | Fundamental Reports | Finotec
Quiet Friday with US away on Holiday, focus on G8
mee 07-07-2008 | Fundamental Reports | Easy Forex
Dollar surges after ECB pulls future rate hikes off
the
04-07-2008 | Fundamental Reports | Easy Forex
The current
market sentiment 03-07-2008 | Fundamental Reports | Walid
Salah El Din
Non-Farm Payroll 03-07-2008 |
Fundamental Reports | Crown Forex
EUR/USD Teeters On
Support 08-07-2008 | Forex Technical Analysis | James
Hyerczyk
Chart of the Day - 7/08/2008 - EUR/GBP
08-07-2008 | Forex Technical Analysis | FX Solutions
iFOREX.bg USD/JPY Technical Analysis 8 July 2008
08-07-2008 | Forex Technical Analysis | iForex.bg
iFOREX.bg
GBP/USD Technical Analysis 8 July 2008 Weak Fundamentals Could
Pressure NZD/USD to .7445 iFOREX.bg EUR/USD Technical Analysis 8
July 2008 USD/CHF Trend is Up; Look for Buying Opportunity Higher
Highs, but Lower Closes in USD/CAD
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making trading decisions. Economic Calendar Global Economic
Calendar (GMT)
Date Time Currency Importance Event Actual
Forecast Previous Jul 8 01:30 AUD
NAB Business
Confidence -9.00 -4.00
Description Details Chart National Australia Bank
(NAB) Business Confidence determines the mood of domestic firms in
non-farm sectors. The indicator is concluded from a survey of
around 350 small to large sized companies. Importance: Low Source
Of Report: Release URL: 05:00 JPY
Economy Watchers Current
Index 29.50 31.00 32.10 determines the current mood of
companies that directly service consumers, such as barbers, taxi
drivers, and waiters. These companies, dubbed "Economy Watchers" as
they directly observe the economy during their everyday business,
are thought to hold important insights from the microeconomic
level. A reading above 50 signals an improvement in sentiment.
12:30 USD
Fed Chairman Bernanke Speaks Description
Details The Fed Governor Ben Shalom Bernanke was born in
1953. He graduated from Harvard University and a Ph.D. in economics
in 1979 from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology. In 2006 he
became the Chairman of the Federal Reserve System. He gives a press
conference as to how the Fed observes the current US economy and
the worth of USD. His comments may determine a short-term positive
or negative trend.
Importance: Medium Source Of Report: 14:00 USD
Pending Home
Sales -4.70% -2.40% 6.30% determines the amount of signed
real estate contracts for existing single-family homes, condos and
co-ops. An index of 100 is equal to the average level of contract
activity during 2007. 14:00 USD
Wholesale
Inventories 0.80% 0.70% 1.30% determines the worth of
goods held by wholesalers. A downward trend has a positive effect
on the nation's currency as wholesalers order more goods from
manufacturers when they have depleted inventories.
19:00 USD
Consumer Credit 7.80B 7.50B 8.90B
determines the total worth of outstanding consumer installment
debt, such as credit cards and auto loans. Historically, consumer
borrowing and spending have a high degree of correlation. An upward
trend has a positive effect on the country's currency 23:01 GBP
Consumer Confidence Index 63.00 65.00 69.00 The
countrywide consumer Confidence Index (NCCI) determines the mood of
consumers in regard to economic conditions. The reading is
concluded from a monthly survey that asks respondents to evaluate
the prospects for the economy in the future.
23:50 JPY
Core Machinery Orders 10.40% 1.10% 5.50%
determines the total worth of new orders placed with machine
manufacturers, excluding orders for items with a volatile sales
cycle. When manufacturers increase their purchasing of machinery it
signals that the manufacturing industry is in an expansion phase.
An upward trend has a positive effect on the country's currency.
Importance: Low
Source Of Report: Economic and Social Research Institute Release
URL:
http://www.esri.cao.go.jp/en/stat/menu.html Full
Economic Calendar Add This Economic Calendar to your
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